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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Wed 7/1/26Challenger Job-Cut Report 5:30 AM ETMBA Mortgage Applications 7:00 AM ETADP Employment Report 8:15 AM ETJobless Claims 8:30 AM ETKevin Warsh Speaks 9:00 AM ETPMI Manufacturing Final 9:45 AM ETISM Manufacturing Index Construction Spending 10:00 AM ETEIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ETTreasury Buyback Announcement 11:00 AM ET4-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM ETTreasury Buyback Results 2:00 PM ET
Wall St futures slip as second half of year begins with Mideast worries - Reuters
US and Iran enter technical talks to secure peace deal, shipping restart - Reuters
Trump Briefed on All-Out War Options in Iran but Opts to Stick With Talks - WSJ
A Dispute Over Opening Hormuz Drives a Wedge Into U.S.-Saudi Relations - WSJ
Iran says it is selling oil at 20% premium as end of U.S. blockade sees 40 million barrels exported - CNBC
US Says Witkoff, Kushner Had Positive Talks in Doha on Iran Deal - BBG
Afghanistan says airstrikes launched on Pakistan; Islamabad says drones shot down - Reuters
Trump Souring on USMCA Triggers Review of $2 Trillion Trade Deal - BBG
Canada's GDP rebounds in April, posts 0.5% growth on monthly basis - Reuters
Trump Made More Than $1 Billion on Crypto Deals, Part of 2025 Windfall - WSJ
Supreme Court Gives Trump New Tools to Accelerate Deportations - WSJ
US VP Vance says the Vatican's views on immigration are 'troubling' - Reuters
Despite some big losses, Supreme Court rewards Trump's power play - Reuters
Trump to Take Maiden Flight on Qatari-Gifted Air Force One - WSJ
Under the Trump crypto playbook, the family always wins. Investors don’t - Reuters
Putin Faces a Political Crisis as Fuel Shortages Ripple Through Russia - WSJ
Russia approved secret China military training at top level, sources say - Reuters
Euro zone inflation falls more than expected, adding to ECB case for patience - Reuters
Warsh hits the international stage with peers sharing an inflation problem - Reuters
Euro zone factory output ends first quarter on strong note, cost pressures ease - PMI
UK manufacturing activity cools despite stockpiling boost to output, PMI shows
Russian manufacturing returns to growth for first time in over a year, PMI shows
China's Xi urges ruling Communist Party to be adaptable, safeguard advances - Reuters
China factory activity returns to expansion riding AI global boom
Dollar bulls gain ground even as most FX strategists still expect weakness: Reuters poll
Oil prices wobble as uncertainty persists over U.S.-Iran talks in Qatar - CNBC
$BE (+7.1% pre) Brookfield and Bloom Energy Expand AI Infrastructure Partnership to $25 Billion; Fivefold Increase to Build and Finance Rapid Power for AI Infrastructure
$OKLO (+3.9% pre) DOE approves safety analysis for Oklo's Groves reactor in Texas
$RIG (+0.4% pre) Transocean shares rise on $1B+ $EQNR Equinor deal
$KR (-2.8% pre) Kroger acquires Giant Eagle for $1.7B in a major M&A move
$CAT (-2.5% pre) Michael Burry says he’s shorting Caterpillar for the first time after it nearly doubled in the AI-driven rally of 2026 - CNBC
$PM (-0.2% pre) FDA lets Philip Morris market Zyn nicotine pouches as less harmful than cigarettes
$SCHW (-0.1% pre) Trump secured over $50 million in loan from Charles Schwab in 2025, ethics filing shows
$PZZA (-4.8% pre) Papa John's Stock Slips On CFO Surprise Exit
$FLY (+3.1% pre) $LUNR (+6.5% pre) FLY and LUNR Stocks Climb After NASA Awards New 2028 Moon Missions
$KLAR (+7.2% pre) $GOOG $GOOGL Google Ordered to Pay Klarna Nearly $2 Billion in Antitrust Suit
$GOOGL (+0.1% pre) South Korea watchdog says $GOOG Google stifled Android app store competition
Vimeo owner Bending Spoons heads for US market debut after $1.68 billion IPO
$MSFT (+1.8% pre) Microsoft to cut under 2.5% of workforce in latest layoffs, Business Insider reports
JUN MONTHLY ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: +98K V +120KE; Notes signs of labor supply constraints in certain industries
$SMCI (-0.8% pre) Taiwan Detains Super Micro Workers in China Chip Smuggling Probe
$DDOG (+1.4% pre) Datadog Acquires Adaptive ML to Accelerate Its Investment in AI Research and Development
$FMC (+8.1% pre) FMC lands $400M from Tessenderlo in deal for 20% stake
$AA (-5.7% pre) Alcoa Announces Strategic Acquisition of South32’s Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum Assets for $4.1 billion
$TALO (+7.5% pre) Talos Energy funds Gulf of America deal with $800M debt sale
$PLTR (+2.6% pre) Trump Bought At Least $100,001 In Palantir Shares, Disclosure Shows - Bloomberg
$META (+6.2% pre) META Said to be building cloud business to sell excess AI compute (watch $MSFT $AMZN)
Michael Burry reportedly established short positions in: o $TSLA (Tesla) o $NVDA (NVIDIA) o $AMAT (Applied Materials)
$GIS (+4.5% pre) General Mills rallies after earnings topper and announcing a major cost savings initiative
$MSM (+2.0% pre) MSC Industrial’s (NYSE:MSM) Q2 CY2026 Sales Top Estimates, Stock Soars
$STZ (+2.2% pre) Earnings Snapshot: Constellation Brands Q1 net sales beat estimates as beer growth offsets wine headwinds
$FDS (-1.6% pre) FactSet Research Systems Non-GAAP EPS of $4.53 beats by $0.08, revenue of $622.9M beats by $4.81M
$NKE (-1.4% pre) Nike beats Q4 earnings estimates while revenue lags
$PRGS (-2.9% pre) Progress Software: Fiscal Q2 Earnings Snapshot
Top Earnings Wed 7/1 Aft: $BSET $CULP $FC $GBX
Top Earnings Th 7/2 Pre: $LNN
$BBIO (-0.3% pre) BridgeBio gets $1B from Sixth Street, HCRx for three launches
$CANF (+54.2% pre) Can-Fite Phase 2a Pancreatic Cancer Study with Namodenoson Achieves Primary Safety Endpoint and Demonstrates Durable Survival Outcomes in Advanced Disease
$ELAB (+5.0% pre) NorthStrive Biosciences Announces Positive Results from Phase III of AI-Driven Drug Discovery Program with Yuva Biosciences
$ABVX (+3.2% pre) Abivax prices upsized $800M ADS offering at $125 per share
Upgrades 7/1: $ABVX $AEIS $CHKP $CRCL $CRM $CVBF $DLO $FOXA $FSUN $GRND $LMT $MUSA $NOK $NOW $ODFL $SAIA $TALO $WERN $XPO
Downgrades 7/1: $ABCB $BOKF $CARE $CFR $CNOB $DOW $MBIN $PRG $SPG $TFC $WRB
+Initiations 7/1: $ABT $AIB $ALGT $AMPL $AVAV $BIRK $BROS $BRSL $CARL $COF $CON $CYPH $FDXF $FIP $FLNC $FWDI $FWRG $GUTS $KTOS $KZIA $LOCO $PL $REZI $SER $SPCX $STRZ
-Initiations 7/1: $BF/B $MKL
$CVKD (-8.1% pre) Cadrenal Therapeutics launches up to $8.8M private placement
Top Analyst/Investor Calls: $AIDX
Top Conferences: o Bank of America Convertible Bond Investor Conference o Goldman Sachs Global Copper Week o H.C. Wainwright Cell Therapy Conference