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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Th 10/15/26Jobless Claims PPI-Final Demand Retail Sales Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Empire State Manufacturing Index 8:30 AM ETBusiness Inventories 10:00 AM ETEIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ETTreasury Buyback & Bill Announcements 11:00 AM ET4 & 8-Week Bill Auctions 11:30 AM ETEIA Petroleum Status Report 12:00 PM ETTreasury Buyback Results 2:00 PM ETFed Balance Sheet 4:30 PM ETBeth Hammack Speaks 4:30 PM ETKevin Warsh Speaks 11:30 PM ET
Nasdaq futures fall as tech shares drop on fears of AI overspending; traders await more U.S. data
Iran’s precision strikes picked apart Gulf infrastructure, blunting US war plans - Reuters
Two ships sink near Hormuz after being hit by projectiles amid surge in attacks - Reuters
U.S. reportedly considers use of ‘mother of all bombs’ as Iran vows to fight on - CNBC
Yemen's Houthis vow more attacks on Saudi airports, oil facilities after Aramco HQ hit - Reuters
Houthi Attacks on Saudi Arabia Defy Difference in Military Power - BBG
EU and Gulf states postpone summit due in Saudi Arabia - Reuters
Citi turns hawkish on Fed after inflation surprise, expects December rate hike
Warsh's quest for quiet Fed gets vocal pushback - Reuters
Lisa Cook lawyer doubts Trump committee’s fairness as president calls her ‘automatic no vote’ - CNBC
White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia Didn’t Pass Bar Exam - WSJ
US rejects recommendation for ICE body cams to be automatically activated - Reuters
Ilhan Omar Investigation Aims to Build Case for Stripping Her Citizenship - WSJ
Just over half of candidates in key US Senate races say they will accept results, others hedge - Reuters
Midterm Anxiety Mounts for GOP as Democrats Try to Expand Battleground - WSJ
Seven subpoenas engulf Nevada election chief in key midterm battle - Reuters
Draghi Says AI Can Help US Steady Debt If Congress Curbs Deficit - BBG
Ukraine to resume strikes on Russian refineries, shattering hopes of an ‘energy ceasefire’ - CNBC
Russia builds major new drone attack base in six weeks, satellite images show - Reuters
Elon Musk says Trump is ‘ultimately’ responsible for any curbs on Ukraine’s Starshield systems - CNBC
Starlink Suspicions and a Frantic Warning: Inside Trump’s Turn on Zelensky - WSJ
Kremlin says Russia restarts diesel exports after deal with Trump - Reuters
Germany Slams US Move to Bring Russia Back to the Global Stage - BBG
Ukraine Passes Bills Needed to Unlock Further Foreign Funding - BBG
Trump donor leading Caucasus fund has major Armenia holdings, Russia business history - Reuters
France is ‘putting the house in order’ and can slash deficit to 3% in three years, central bank governor tells CNBC
French inflation rises to 3.4% in September, highest since January 2024 - Reuters
BoE's Pill says a rate hike need not be start of long series - Reuters
China Q3 growth set to pick up on stimulus, keeping 2026 goal within reach
Bessent Pushes IMF on ‘Distortionary’ Policies, Hints at China - BBG
China’s Backdoor Bond-Buying Talk Swirls on $600 Billion Buildup - BBG
For Chinese automakers, the road to survival runs through Europe - Reuters
South Korea's KOSPI closes at 6-month low as chipmakers slump on AI worries
IMF warns of slowing Asian growth, spillover from rising yields - Reuters
Gold climbs over 1% on softer dollar, yields ahead of US inflation data
Bitcoin back under $81,000 as AI selloff worsens
$CCC (halted pre) CCC Intelligent Solutions to go private in $6.1B deal ($7.75/sh cash)
$CRWV (-4.1% pre) CoreWeave extends slide as bond yields, Gartner warning stoke funding worries
$CRWV (-4.1% pre) CoreWeave’s Big Dream Crashes Into Reality as Yields Top 15%
$SKHY (-7.0% pre) SK Hynix conditions new US factory on more US chip equipment exports to China, sources say
P Equity Research 📰@pequityresearch A financial column published in South Korea now warns of memory oversupply in 2029, after new capacity comes online. They argue Korea has only 2-3 years to develop new growth industries before the cycle potentially reverses.$DRAM $SNDK $MU $SKHY $EWY
@elonmusk China will be making a LOT of RAM in 2028
$RKLB (-10.5% pre) Rocket Lab Stock Plunges Nearly 10% After Another Neutron Launch Setback
$TSLA (-1.5% pre) Tesla set to unveil next generation Roadster sports EV after years of delay
$TSLA $SPCX A Tesla-SpaceX Merger Could Be Weeks Away - Barron's
$SPRC (+30.4% pre) SciSparc shifts focus to agentic AI, cybersecurity, and finance tech
At Anthropic pre-IPO meet: ‘Thinking’ caps, surging revenue, no human extinction
$PAG (+8.5% pre) Penske Automotive Group to go private in $16.3B deal ($212/sh cash) - SI
$IONQ (-2.0% pre) IonQ Stock Tumbles on $2 Billion Equity Offering. Why Other Quantum Names Are Falling Just as Hard. $QBTS $QNT $RGTI
ByteDance nears chip supply deal with MediaTek for data centres, Bloomberg News reports
US FTC subpoenas OpenAI and Anthropic over consumer harms, Axios reports
$FIG (-1.2% pre) Figma CFO says design platform willing to put margins on the line to boost AI demand
$VG (-0.8% pre) Venture Global inks deals with $GEV GE Vernova, $BKR Baker Hughes for power expansion
$MU (-4.4% pre) Taiwan president calls for Micron, workers to negotiate 'sincerely' ahead of possible strike
$BEEM (+7.1% pre) Beam Global’s acquisition target ScoutDI receives nuclear order
$ANL (+3.4% pre) Adlai Nortye Strikes Global Clinical Collaboration with $LLY Lilly and $MRK Merck for AN4035 Combination Trial
$DXCM (+3.0% pre) Landmark Dexcom CONNECT Study Published in The New England Journal of Medicine, Redefining the Standard of Care for People with Type 2 Diabetes Not on Insulin
$VNDA (-4.7% pre) Vanda Pharmaceuticals stock falls after anxiety drug trial fails
Retail Sales Advance (Sep MoM) 0.8% vs 0.3% Expected
PPI Final Demand (Sep) 1.3% vs 0.6% Expected
OCT PHILADELPHIA FED BUSINESS OUTLOOK: 20.9 V 28.0E
INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 199K V 200KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 1.71M V 1.71ME
OCT EMPIRE MANUFACTURING: 25.5 V 12.0E
$BNY (+2.6% pre) BNY Surpasses Q3 Earnings Expectations, Shares Rise
$CMC (+3.1% pre) Commercial Metals Fiscal Q4 Adjusted Earnings, Sales Rise
$ERIC (+11.6% pre) Ericsson stock jumps as much as 11% after adjusted profit beats forecasts
$KMB (+2.9% pre) Kimberly-Clark shares rise following preliminary Q3 earnings beat
$FHN (-4.9% pre) First Horizon earnings beat by $0.01, revenue fell short of estimates
$FMC (-43.1% pre) FMC tumbles after slashing Q3 outlook over weak demand and inventory issues
$MAN (-15.3% pre) ManpowerGroup Q3 revenue slightly misses expectations
$PNC (-2.1% pre) PNC Financial misses Q3 revenue estimate as funding costs impact net interest income
$SCHW (-1.9% pre) Charles Schwab shares dip after Q3 revenue disappoints, earnings top consensus
$TSM (-3.1% pre) TSMC 'prudent' going into 2027 after posting sixth straight quarter of record profit
Top Earnings Th 10/15 Aft: $AA $CNS $IBKR $INDB $JBHT $SFNC $WAFD $WSE
Top Earnings Fri 10/16 Pre: $CFG $MTB $RF $TFC $TRV
US Producer Prices Rise by Most in More Than Four Years - BBG
$NVDA (-1.8% pre) Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang urges U.S.-China dialogue on ‘potentially dangerous’ AI
Upgrades 10/15: $ARRY $BAC $BHF $BWA $CASY $CROX $CX $FTRE $IONS $KMX $LAC $MT $QNT $SGML $SMG $TXRH $WMT $ZION
Downgrades 10/15: $ACI $ALGN $CRUS $DCH $NVST $PARR $PYPL $SPOT $ZTO
+Initiations 10/15: $APPS $AR $ARQT $BKH $CAMP $COAG $CRGY $DRUG $ELOX $ESTA $FANG $FIGR $FIS $GPN $GPOR $HAWK $HRMY $INR $MGY $NFLX $ON $OVID $OVV $PAA $PRAX $RAPP $SGHT $SLDB $SPB $TMO $TOST $VKTX $VNOM $WMG $WVE
-Initiations 10/15: $FISV
Trump’s Mineral Stockpile Prepares Up to $1 Billion in Loans - BBG
$MOVE (-5.6% pre) Corvex Enters Up To $250 Million At-The-Market Stock Offering Agreement with Chardan Capital Markets
Top Shareholder Meetings (via TradeXchange): $CACI $ESTC $MDT $PAYX
Top Analyst/Investor Calls: $ENGN $RGLD $SMTC
Top Conferences: o H.C. Wainwright Immune Cell Engager Conference o IMF and World Bank Group Annual Meeting o KeyBanc Private Company Healthcare Conference o Semicon West o ThinkEquity Small Cap Conference o Wolfe Global Quantitative & Macro Investment Conference o Workday Rising
$NWE Jefferies Starts Northwestern Corp. (NWE) at Buy