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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Tues 7/14/26NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 6:00 AM ETCPI 8:30 AM ETKevin Warsh Speaks 10:00 AM ETBill Announcements 11:00 AM ET6-Week Bill Auction 11:30 AM ETMichael Barr Speaks 12:40 PM ETMichael Barr Speaks 12:55 PM ETAustan Goolsbee Speaks 1:00 PM ETLisa Cook Speaks 1:30 PM ETMichelle Bowman Speaks 2:55 PM ETTreasury International Capital 4:00 PM ET
S&P 500, Dow futures dip as big banks' earnings roll in ahead of CPI data; $IBM slides
US-Iran Truce Collapses as Attacks Worsen and Blockade Returns - BBG
Iran hits tankers after third night of US attacks; Trump reimposes naval blockade
Trump says the US will take out Pickaxe Mountain in Iran
U.S. crude jumps above $80 as Iran ceasefire fractures; Trump’s Hormuz toll plans reignite supply fears - CNBC
Hormuz Tensions Put Commodity Supplies at Risk Far Beyond Oil - BBG
Global shipping industry sounds the alarm over Trump’s Hormuz toll plan - CNBC
Americans expect prolonged US-Iran war as ceasefire falters, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
A Wave of Iranian Nationalism Is Drowning Out Its Diplomats - WSJ
Houthis fire missiles at Saudi Arabia, breaking years of calm - Reuters
Inflation reports expected to show improvement with a caveat; Warsh heads to Capitol Hill - CNBC
Fed's Warsh heads to Congress after tentative steps away from Trump
Fed's Waller says rate hike may be needed if core inflation stays hot _ Reuters
Trump to claim declassified intel reveals 2020 election interference: MS NOW
U.S. judge finds Trump misused court in IRS case, refers lawyers for discipline - Reuters
ICE agent fatally shoots driver in Maine, six days after similar death in Texas
Blanche on 'glide path' for US attorney general confirmation, Republican insiders say
Justices Barrett, Kagan testify before Congress as court seeks security funds
Trump clean energy policies linked to $83 billion in delayed or canceled projects
South Carolina governor taps Lindsey Graham’s sister to serve as interim senator - CNBC
US small-business sentiment rebounds in June, inflation a major worry for many
Putin Was Xi’s Role Model. Now He’s the Junior Partner. - WSJ
Britain and EU formally sign Gibraltar treaty, easing border crossings
BoE's Bailey says fresh Gulf clashes make outlook more unstable - Reuters
German wholesale prices rise 4.9% in June - Reuters
China's June oil imports hit near 10-year low amid Iran war - Reuters
Gold bounces off two-week low, markets await US inflation data
Dollar dips ahead of US inflation data, supported by rate outlook - Reuters
$IBM (-22.5% pre) IBM Shares Sink 24% on Earnings Warning
$IBM IBM's warning sends panic into software, consulting stocks $MSFT $NOW $ACN $CTSH $INTU $ADBE $PLTR $SNOW $CRM $WDAY
Business declares war on Pentagon stock buyback, dividend restrictions moving in Senate - CNBC
$NBIS (+2.7% pre) Nebius to Sell $1 Billion in AI Capacity to Reflection - BBG
$VIAV (+3.4% pre) Viavi Solutions wins $1.1M EU grant for 6G security project
$CLSK (+16.1% pre) CleanSpark signs $6.6B data center lease in Sandersville, Georgia
CPI (Jun YoY) 3.5% vs 3.8% Expected; Ex-food and Energy 2.6% vs 2.8%
$SKHY (+8.3% pre) Retail-trader ‘bottleneck bros’ eyeing AI supply chain can’t wait for SK Hynix options - CNBC
$GOOG $GOOGL Google probed by Swiss regulator over Android default search feature
China's DeepSeek considers new fundraising after first round, FT reports
DeepSeek’s Liang Tops Amodei and Brockman as Richest AI Founder - BBG
Data-Center Builders Are Racing to Offload Stakes Worth Billions - WSJ
$BRK/B (-0.4% pre) Buffett to Offload Berkshire Stake in 8 Years as Gates Snubbed
$SPCX (+1.0% pre) Pollution from Musk’s unpermitted xAI power project hits hardest in Black communities
$CEVA (+4.8% pre) Ceva Announces Leadership Transition as COO Steps Down
$UMC (+4.0% pre) SILITH and UMC Achieve Mass Production Milestone for Silicon Photonics
$USAR (+3.4% pre) USA Rare Earth produces dysprosium and NdPr oxide from recycled magnets
$CSGP (-5.5% pre) CoStar Group Promotes Robin Rossmann to Chief Financial Officer to Drive Margin Expansion and Profitable Growth
‘Nobody underwrote for that’: Private credit faces a key test as higher rates squeeze borrowers - CNBC
SoftBank's Son says AI will need $5 trillion per year by 2040, dismisses bubble talk
$FLNC (+3.3% pre) Fluence to supply 800 MWh battery system for California project
$JTAI (-18.0% pre) Jet.AI investors get up to 3.6 flyExclusive shares for each SpinCo share
$LVLU (+10.6% pre) Lulus forms special committee to weigh possible sale and other options
$TSEM (+19.7% pre) Tower Semiconductor Shares Surge Premarket on Japanese Investment - WSJ
$XNDU (+3.6% pre) $LMT Lockheed Martin Engineers Train on Xanadu’s Quantum Tools
$SHAZ (+7.8% pre) Eyes on $NVDA Nvidia as Sharon AI keeps fundies waiting on ASX debut
Inside RFK Jr.’s push to dismantle decades of U.S. vaccine policy - Reuters
$MBX (-6.1% pre) MBX Biosciences Announces Executive Leadership Transition to Support the Company’s Next Phase of Growth
$NXTC (+305.0% pre) NextCure and Avere to merge, targeting oral IL-23 therapy
$ANGO (+3.7% pre) AngioDynamics: Fiscal Q4 Earnings Snapshot
$GS (+3.5% pre) Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 2026 earnings beat estimates; revenue up 39%
$TREX (+5.7% pre) Decking maker Trex bets on one giant distributor as it raises 2026 targets
$VMAR (+25.5% pre) Electric-boat firm Vision Marine hits $48.6M in 9‑month sales but stays in loss
$IBM (-22.0% pre) IBM shares skid more than 20% after company warns second-quarter earnings fell short of expectations
$ERIC (-9.6% pre) Ericsson tumbles 9% on Q2 revenue miss and rising AI costs
$FAST (-1.9% pre) Fastenal: Q2 Earnings Snapshot
$BAC (+0.8% pre) BofA Profit Soars as Stock Traders, Dealmakers See Resurgence
$JPM (-1.6% pre) JPMorgan Chase Q2 earnings beat as investment banking, equities fees surge, but expenses rise too
$WFC (-1.2% pre) Wells Fargo Beats Estimates on Wealth, Investment Banking
$VIRT (-4.1% pre) Virtu Financial posts preliminary Q2 outlook, expects $285M net income
Top Earnings Tu 7/14 Aft: $AEHR $EQBK $KMTS $LOOP $PXED
Top Earnings Wed 7/15 Pre: $ALP $ASML $BLK $BNY $CAG $CTAS $ELV $FHN $JNJ $MS $MTB $PGR $PNC $SIFY $TRX
$AIP (+7.9% pre) $ARM (+4.0% pre) Arm expands use of Arteris security tool across CPU designs
$AAPL (-1.0% pre) KeyBanc cuts Apple to Underweight, cites slowing hardware demand
$AAOI (+7.3% pre) AOI starts Pearland expansion to boost 800G and 1.6T transceiver output
$LHAI (+37.0% pre) OpenLink Marketplace Connects Underutilized GPUs With Enterprise Customers
$BIIB (+1.9% pre) Biogen presents Phase 2 data on Alzheimer's drug diranersen at AAIC
Upgrades 7/14: $AN $ATR $CABO $CSX $ESS $FCEL $HAL $IRT $NEM $PTEN $RRR $TKO $UDR $ULS $WCC .
Downgrades 7/14: $AAPL $ARM $AVB $CNI $CPT $CRCL $CSGP $EH $ELS $EQR $GEF $GWW $IBM $IP $MAA $OI $PGR $PTRN $QGEN $SLVM $SWKS $TCBK $TMHC
+Initiations 7/14: $AMBQ $ARWR $BEAT $BELFA $CCJ $COLB $CRML $CWEN $ENLT $EOSE $LEU $NXT $RXO $SKHY $SPCX $URG .
-Initiations 7/14: $INTU
$QTTB (-4.8% pre) Q32 Bio launches $200M stock offering to fund clinical trials
Top Shareholder Meetings: $DCOY $GOSS $RENT
Top Analyst/Investor Calls: $ADIG $SNDX
Top Conferences: o AAIC o Citizens Tech Forum o ISTH o Leerink Partners Therapeutics Forum o RJ Private Data Forum