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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Th 4/16/26Jobless Claims Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 8:30 AM ETJohn Williams Speaks 8:35 AM ETIndustrial Production 9:15 AM ETEIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ETStephen Miran Speaks 10:35 AM ETTreasury Buyback & Bill Announcements 11:00 AM ET4 & 8 -Week Bill Auction 11:30 AM ETTreasury Buyback Results 2:00 PM ETFed Balance Sheet 4:30 PM ET
Stocks back to record-setting ways on Middle East truce hopes - Reuters
US, Iran Weigh Longer Truce as Pakistan Boosts Mediation Efforts - BBG
Hopes for deal to end Iran war grow, but nuclear issues unresolved - Reuters
Exclusive: Iran offers proposal allowing ships to exit Oman side of Hormuz free of attack, source says - Reuters
Trump says Israel and Lebanon leaders to hold talks after first high-level meeting in decades - CNBC
Iran’s War-Shattered Economy Means It Has an Urgent Reason to Negotiate - WSJ
Iran can go up to two months without oil exports before cutting output, analysts say - Reuters
Trump tries economic reset as Republicans fret over high gas prices - Reuters
Fed leadership transition on shaky ground as clock ticks on Powell's term - Reuters
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is preparing banks to collect citizenship data - CNBC
White House budget chief Russell Vought won’t estimate Iran war cost in testimony - CNBC
The Decades-Old Legal Question at the Heart of the Fed Chair Showdown - WSJ
Pentagon Approaches Automakers, Manufacturers to Boost Weapons Production - WSJ
A Private Equity Billionaire Mounts His Biggest Takeover Yet: the Pentagon - WSJ
US will punish fraud, insider trading, derivatives regulator tells Congress - Reuters
Tax Refund Splurge for Many Americans Is Paying Down Debt - BBG
Pope Leo to hold peace meeting in Cameroon amid Trump attacks - Reuters
Trump posts image of himself with Jesus as administration's pope criticism continues - Reuters
Regulators are reportedly zeroing in on suspicious trades ahead of market-moving Trump post - CNBC
ECB in 'relatively favorable' policy position, Schnabel says
How surging bond yields add to Europe's fiscal headaches - Reuters
UK economy surged ahead of Iran war, but energy shock to test resilience - Reuters
China's Q1 economic rebound faces rough seas as Iran war jolts global outlook - Reuters
China's factory output rises 5.7% in March, retail sales growth slips to 1.7% - Reuters
BOJ to hike rates by June as war-fuelled inflation risks mount: Reuters poll
Oil prices rise on doubts US-Iran peace talks will ease Hormuz disruption - Reuters
Iran war brings US close to net crude exporter for first time since World War Two - Reuters
Dollar inches higher as investors focus on path to Iran peace deal - Reuters
Exclusive: Starlink outage hit drone tests, exposing Pentagon’s growing reliance on SpaceX
$AMAT (-0.1% pre) $LRCX (+0.0% pre) Musk’s Terafab taps Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron, Lam Research in chip push: report
$TSLA (+1.1% pre) Tesla Cybertruck Sales Were Inflated by a SpaceX Buying Spree - BBG
$BA (+0.3% pre) Boeing hiring more than 100 factory workers a week to grow output, replace retirees - Reuters
$SAVE Spirit Airlines could liquidate as early as this week, sources say - CNBC
$LYV (-0.5% pre) Ticketmaster and Live Nation hold illegal monopolies, US jury finds - Reuters
Relaxation of US day-trading rules opens door to YOLO trading, higher risk
How Anthropic Learned Mythos Was Too Dangerous for the Wild - BBG
$DGNX (+114.3% pre) Diginex signs $1.5 billion acquisition of AI firm Resulticks
$ORCL (+3.6% pre) Oracle and $AMZN AWS Collaborate to Expand Multicloud Networking - SI
$LZ (+0.5% pre) LegalZoom becomes sole legal services provider for $GDDY GoDaddy customers - SI
$NTAP (-1.0% pre) NetApp Collaborates with $GOOGL Google Cloud to Power Data Infrastructure for Distributed Cloud
$AEHR (+15.7% pre) Aehr Receives Record $41 Million Production Order from Lead Hyperscale AI Customer; Second-Half Bookings Exceed $92 Million
$EHGO (-15.0% pre) To meet Nasdaq's $1 bid rule, Eshallgo consolidates shares 16-to-1
$GEVO (-12.0% pre) Gevo Withdraws from Department of Energy Financing Process and is Developing Alternative Financing for its ATJ-30 Project
$MYSE (+233.3% pre) Myseum Rebrands as Myseum.AI to Align with Full Suite of Technology and Social Media Platforms
$RAYA (-20.6% pre) Erayak implements 1-for-10 reverse stock split to maintain Nasdaq listing
$VOYG (+9.3% pre) Voyager Technologies wins NASA contract for seventh private astronaut mission
$WLDN (+1.6% pre) Willdan wins $27 million NYC contract for building emissions program
$QVCGA (-67.8% pre) QVC Group to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection with massive debt
Kennedy to tout new food policies but skip vaccines in remarks to US Congress - Reuters
$ALGS (+15.2% pre) Aligos Therapeutics Enters into Exclusive License Deal with Xiamen Amoytop Biotech Co., Ltd. to Develop and Commercialize Pevifoscorvir Sodium in Greater China for Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection
$ANL (+16.1% pre) Cancer drug developer Adlai Nortye lines up $150M from investors
$CDNA (+10.9% pre) CareDx sells lab products unit to EuroBio for $170 million
$HIMS (+9.1% pre) Hims & Hers stock jumps as U.S. moves forward with plan to reassess popular peptides
$LLY (+0.7% pre) Lilly Obesity Pill Shows No Added Heart Risk in Trial - BBG
$TVTX (-1.7% pre) Travere’s drug for a kidney disease doesn’t improve kidney function. The FDA approved it anyway - STAT
Citron Research@CitronResearch 1) DON'T LISTEN TO CITRON. Listen to Jensen. $INFQ RULES! $RGTI insignificant$NVDA has spoken on quantum and laid out exactly who their partners are. $INFQ IS THE ONLY company NVIDIA selected twice for both Calibration AND Decoding , yet trades at half the market cap of $RGTI, a company NVIDIA didn't select at all.$INFQ deserves to be twice the market cap of $RGTI. Not the other way around. This chart shows what prices would look like This is the most obvious mispricing in the quantum market right now.
$BK (+0.6% pre) Bank of New York earnings beat by $0.32, revenue topped estimates
$CAPS (+39.0% pre) Capstone Reports FY2025 Results and Guides to 54% Revenue Growth and 4x EBITDA Growth in 2026
$JBHT (+2.0% pre) JB Hunt Earnings Growth Accelerates On First Sales Gain Since 2022
$KEY (+1.9% pre) KEYCORP REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 NET INCOME OF $486 MILLION, OR $0.44 PER DILUTED COMMON SHARE INCREASING 33% YEAR-OVER-YEAR
$PEP (+0.9% pre) PepsiCo beats Q1 revenue estimates as snack price cuts lift demand
$PLD (+2.0% pre) Prologis (PLD) Tops Q1 EPS by 24c; offers guidance
$PPG (+5.0% pre) PPG Stock Pops On Preliminary Q1 Results, Global Price Increases
$ABT (-4.1% pre) Earnings Snapshot: Abbott Laboratories tops Q1 revenue estimates; lowers FY26 Adj. profit outlook
$BNAI (-11.5% pre) Brand Engagement Network cut its loss by $25M as global deals expand
$IIIN (-19.4% pre) Insteel (NYSE:IIIN) Misses Q1 CY2026 Revenue Estimates
$JKS (-9.4% pre) JinkoSolar shipped 86 GW of panels but lost RMB4.45B in 2025
$QDEL (-18.0% pre) QuidelOrtho stock plunges on weak revenue guidance
$SCHW (-2.1% pre) Charles Schwab stock dips as Q1 revenue disappoints on weaker-than-expected net interest income
$SLG (-2.7% pre) SL Green Q1 earnings disappoint even as leasing volume hits quarterly record
$TRV (-0.6% pre) Travelers stock falls after earnings. Dividend bump isn’t enough.
$TSM (-1.2% pre) TSMC first-quarter profit rises 58%, beats estimates as AI demand fuels record run
$USB (-0.7% pre) U.S. Bancorp Q1 earnings reflect strong loan growth, improved payments
Top Earnings Th 4/16 Aft: $AA $CNS $FNB $INDB $LAKE $NFLX $SFNC
Top Earnings Fri 4/17 Pre: $ALLY $ALV $BMI $ERIC $FITB $PSNY $RF $STT $TFC
@markflowchatter · Did Midwest Boutique send a cautionary commentary out on $MU ?"Our work suggests conventional DRAM price forecasts are stabilizing somewhat after continued meaningful upside"
INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 207K V 213KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 1.818M V 1.81ME
Philadelphia Fed (Apr) 26.7 vs 10 Expected
Upgrades 4/16: $ALLO $BFH $BXMT $DSGX $EQH $FLYW $HLNE $JBLU $NN $OKTA $OMAB
Downgrades 4/16: $ABEV $AKO $FHI $FLUT $FN $FOUR $GLW $GTLB $NTAP $PYPL $QCOM $SPSC $STLA $TWO
+Initiations 4/16: $ACRS $ALV $CRWV $DEC $DKS $EBC $EFX $EQ $FICO $HFFG $INDB $KALU $KLRS $NGVC $NUAI $PBAM $PFE $STRL $T $TMUS $VEON $WHWK
$ACXP (-20.3% pre) Acurx lines up $2.5M now, another $4.6M if warrants are used
$CRWV (+0.3% pre) CoreWeave plans $1 billion debt offering with 9.750% senior notes
$MNTS (-2.9% pre) Momentus closes $5 million private placement at $3.75 per share
$SFST (-4.9% pre) Southern First Bancshares prices stock offering at $54 per share
Top Shareholder Meetings: $ALT $CE $FUL $HPQ $HUM $PPG $TXN
Top Analyst/Investor Calls: $MGTX $SCHW
Top Conferences: o International Monetary Fund / World Bank Spring Meetings o Needham Healthcare Conference o Piper Sandler Spring Biopharma Symposium