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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Fri 9/25/26John Williams Speaks 5:15 AM ETDurable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ETJeffrey Schmid Speaks 9:20 AM ETConsumer Sentiment 10:00 AM ETBaker Hughes Rig Count 1:00 PM ETBeth Hammack Speaks 2:00 PM ET
Wall St futures gain as AI enthusiasm eases worries over higher oil prices, yields
US, Iran Said to Be Exploring Phased Deal to Open Hormuz - BBG
Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz within 7 days and restart nuclear talks - CNBC
Why the Gulf Wants Trump to Hold the Line on Iran - WSJ
Allies unite behind Saudi Arabia as Houthis step up attacks - Reuters
Qatar Has a Message for the ‘Troublemakers’ and ‘Saboteurs’ Blocking Peace - BBG
At UN, Netanyahu defends Israel as delegates walk out - Reuters
Senate narrowly votes down resolution calling for end to Iran war - CNBC
Bond Yields at 5% Mark New Era 'Until Something Breaks' - BBG
Bond Traders Are Paying Too Much Attention to the Oil Price - WSJ
History shows financial calamities occur when rates rise rapidly like this: ‘Something always breaks’ - CNBC
Warsh’s regime change at the Fed pushes ahead – and meets resistance - CNBC
US Fed plans to raise bank oversight thresholds, sources say
Surging Treasury yields pose a brand new problem for Kevin Warsh and the Fed - CNBC
30-year fixed mortgage rate jumps sharply Thursday to 7.45% - CNBC
Hurt by Trump, Senate Republicans plan to bolster affordability credentials before midterms
The Robust U.S. Economy Powers Through Rate Hikes and Rising Bond Yields - WSJ
US Seeks to Expand Access to Passport Records for Voter Checks - BBG
Fear of democratic socialists drives November turnout plans for some Trump voters - Reuters
Trump to Campaign in Oklahoma, Alabama as Midterms Creep Closer - BBG
Rush of money, campaign stops show Republicans feel vulnerable in Iowa, Kansas - Reuters
White House reinstates access to CNN, MS NOW and Politico following judge's order
Bank of Mexico holds interest rate, drops signal of prolonged pause
Brazil central bank says 2027 slowdown key to inflation convergence
Russia could attack a NATO country within months, Danish intelligence warns - CNBC
US proposes trilateral meeting with Ukraine, Russia in UAE, Zelenskiy says - Reuters
Desolate Arctic outpost likely to host US troops under new Greenland deal - Reuters
German consumer confidence slumps as energy costs bite
UK consumer confidence hits more than two-year high in September, GfK says
Trump-Xi Summit Goes Big on Pomp But Small on Substance - BBG
Five Takeaways From Trump’s Washington Summit With Xi - WSJ
How Trump's diplomatic week exposed the limits of his power - Reuters
Taiwan cries foul after Xi presses Trump to change stance on island - Reuters
Trump-Xi Summit Gives China Something Money Could Never Buy - WSJ
Japan's bond 'falling knife' stalls repatriation rush - Reuters
Dollar’s Best Rally Since March Has Legs as Fortunes Shift - BBG
Gold rises, but on track for weekly loss as Fed rate hike expectations build - Reuters
Oil slides as US-Iran truce hopes outweigh Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia - Reuters
$AKAM (+16.9% pre) Akamai stock is surging on a massive new cloud deal with Anthropic
$CIFR (+3.8% pre) Cipher Digital extends Barber Lake lease to 20 years, adding $5.2B revenue
$ORCL (-0.6% pre) Cracks in Oracle’s AI Data-Center Build-Out Appear in Massive New Mexico Project - WSJ
$OWL (+0.5% pre) $ORCL Oracle, Blue Owl project delay sends ripples through AI financing, sources say
$TSLA (+1.0% pre) Tesla commences semi-truck deliveries, reaffirms 50,000 annual output target
$NVDA (+0.7% pre) Elon Musk eyes doubling xAI's Colossus 2 Nvidia AI chips by year-end
$META (-0.5% pre) Meta gets to consumer AI device market before OpenAI, but Zuckerberg’s strategy remains unproven
$ZS (-4.0% pre) Zscaler Stock Falls on Exec Change. Analysts See It as a ‘Low-Disruption’ Move.
Burry warns of write-offs by hyperscalers as AI spending surges
Goldman Sachs underweight hyperscalers amid debt flood
$FTHM (+11.5% pre) Fathom Holdings (FTHM) Stock Climbs After Hours On Revised Merger Deal With Neighborhood Intelligence
Kalshi’s Backroom Tax Victory Gives It Leverage in Legal Fights - BBG
New York, Polymarket sue each other over whether prediction markets are illegal gambling - Reuters
$MSFT (-0.1% pre) Microsoft Abandons Personal AI Chatbot Race With Copilot Reboot
$MGLD (+97.0% pre) Madison Dearborn partners to acquire The Marygold in $2.00/share all-cash buyout
Pimco Faces AAA Debt Loss After 85% Writedown of Office Complex - BBG
$AESI (+8.3% pre) Atlas Energy Solutions signs power equipment deals with AI lab
$PPLI (+10.3% pre) People Inc. Shares Rise as $MGM Weighs Bid for Its Largest Shareholder
$AIFF (+25.2% pre) Firefly Neuroscience partners with NeuroSigma on ADHD treatment
$ALMR (+1.4% pre) Lancet Neurology Study Using Alamar Biosciences’ Technology Reveals Divergent Biological Responses to Alzheimer’s Treatment
$JAGX (+38.2% pre) Jaguar Animal Health Executes Major Debt-for-Equity Exchange
$JAGX (+38.2% pre) Form SCHEDULE 13G/A Jaguar Health, Inc. Filed by: Mailman Joshua
$NKTR (+2.7% pre) Nektar Wins $90 Million Verdict in $LLY Lilly Dispute
$PRME (+10.1% pre) FDA clears Prime Medicine's IND for AATD gene editing therapy
$RGNX (+4.7% pre) REGENXBIO Presents Positive Three-Year Durability Data for Surabgene Lomparvovec in Diabetic Retinopathy at Retina Society Annual Scientific Meeting
$STAA (+1.9% pre) STAAR Surgical Board Approves $50 Million Share Repurchase Authorization
$IFBD (+10.6% pre) Infobird Co., Ltd Reports Earnings Results for the Half Year Ended June 30, 2026
$INLF (+119.3% pre) INLIF LIMITED Reports First Half of Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results (1/2)
$INLF (+119.3% pre) INLIF Limited Ends At-The-Market Share Sales Agreement After Raising $21 Million (2/2)
$TBN (+5.0% pre) Tamboran Resources Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Full Year Ended June 30, 2026
$LGCY (-12.9% pre) Legacy Education posts record fiscal 2026, shares fall after hours
$SCHL (-12.1% pre) Scholastic Q1 FY2027 slides: loss widens, guidance affirmed
Top Earnings Fri 9/25 Aft: $IVA
Top Earnings Mon 9/28 Pre: $ADXN $GNS $KNDI $MITQ $NTWK
$NKE (-2.1% pre) BofA Securities Downgrades Nike (NKE) to Underperform ($30 PT)
$MRNA (+0.0% pre) Moderna CEO’s Realistic Approach to Innovation - WSJ
Upgrades 9/25: $AGO $BP $FFBC $FRVO $HUM $MMM $SNPS $STEM $TTE
Downgrades 9/25: $CMCSA $GPOR $NKE $QSR $TWLO
+Initiations 9/25: $ALM $CDNL $CF $CHE $ENTX $GENI $GPN $LGND $LMRI $MRLN $PDFS $PGEN $PRSU $SPTX $TCBX $TELA $TSEM $VIK $VRT $WLTH
-Initiations 9/25: $LION
$SCNI (-11.3% pre) Form F-1 Scinai Immunotherapeutic
$STFS (-11.7% pre) Star Fashion Culture prices $9.6M public offering of Class A shares
Top Shareholder Meetings: $BYRN, $CGC, $PRKR
Top Analyst/Investor Calls: $EBAY
Top Conferences: o Davidson Diversified Industrials & Services Conference o Leerink Partners Biopharma Summit o TD Cowen Energy Conference o UN General Assembly