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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Wed 4/15/26MBA Mortgage Applications 7:00 AM ETEmpire State Manufacturing Index Import and Export Prices Michael Barr Speaks 8:30 AM ETHousing Market Index 10:00 AM ETEIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ETTreasury Buyback Announcement 11:00 AM ET4-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM ETMichelle Bowman Speaks 1:45 PM ETBeige Book Treasury Buyback Results 2:00 PM ET
Stock futures are little changed as S&P 500 approaches its all-time high - CNBC
Iran war ‘very close to over,’ Trump says — and the stock market ‘is going to boom’ - CNBC
Iran’s Regime Has Changed—for the Worse - WSJ
Europe Is Accelerating a NATO Fallback Plan in Case Trump Pulls Out - WSJ
Europe Drafts Postwar Plan to Free Up Hormuz Without U.S. - WSJ
Hedge Funds Pivot to Bearish Dollar Bets on US-Iran Talks Optimism - BBG
IMF cuts growth outlook, warns world already drifting toward more adverse scenario - Reuters
Bessent disparages IMF, World Bank forecasts, says US will quickly cycle through higher prices - Reuters
Jeanine Pirro’s Prosecutors Make Surprise Visit to Fed Headquarters - WSJ
Trump takes aim at Pope Leo again, days after calling him ‘weak on crime’ - CNBC
Vance Says Pope Should Be Careful With Words After Iran Critique - BBG
Why Pope Leo Is Such a Challenging Opponent for Trump - WSJ
Trump Administration Eyes Erica Schwartz to Lead CDC - WSJ
Trump administration ends lease for consumer protection bureau's headquarters, records show - Reuters
Trump's voting restrictions bill may fail, but parts live on in 23 states - Reuters
Orban's defeat topples a pillar of Europe's far right, prompts scrutiny of MAGA links - Reuters
Hungary's Magyar vows to suspend state news broadcasts pending press freedom reform - Reuters
Trump turns on Meloni, says he is 'shocked' by Italian leader - Reuters
Russia offers China energy lifeline as the Iran war strangles global supply - CNBC
Trump Says Xi Told Him China Is Not Sending Weapons to Iran - BBG
China calls US claims of military pressure on Taiwan a 'distortion' - Reuters
Rattled by Trump, US allies eye Japan's biggest arms opening since World War Two - Reuters
Oil climbs over 1% as Hormuz shipping constraints persist despite hopes for US-Iran talks - Reuters
Dollar sheds bulk of Iran war premium, but few expect a sharper drop - Reuters
Central banks were buying gold at record levels. Here’s why they’re selling now - CNBC
Trump says he will fire Fed's Powell if he doesn't leave 'on time' - SA
$GTLB (+6.1% pre) GitLab Stock Jumps On Expanded AI Collaboration With $GOOGL Google Cloud - BZ
$AVGO (+2.8% pre) $META Meta commits to 1 gigawatt of custom chips with Broadcom as Hock Tan decides to leave board - CNBC
$GOOGL (-0.1% pre) Thoma Bravo Signs Multiyear Deal With Google for AI Adoption - BBG
Anthropic Attracts Investor Offers at an $800 Billion Valuation - BBG
Jamie Dimon says Anthropic’s Mythos reveals ‘a lot more vulnerabilities’ for cyberattacks - CNBC
Wall Street Goes Bottom Fishing in Beaten-Down Software Stocks - BBG
Federal agencies skirt Trump’s Anthropic ban to test its advanced AI model, Politico reports
$NTGR (+2.7% pre) The FCC just saved Netgear from its router ban for no obvious reason - The Verge
$SNAP (+7.1% pre) Snap to lay off 1,000 employees, and close 300+ roles as it targets profitability; shares rise - SA
$NFLX (+0.0% pre) Netflix to refocus on ads, content after failed Warner Bros bid - Reuters
$UBER (+0.9% pre) Uber commits $10 billion to robotaxis in strategy shift, FT says
$NKE (+3.3% pre) Nike Shares Get a Lift After Tim Cook and Elliott Hill Buy More Stock - WSJ
$AEO (+1.2% pre) American Eagle launches summer campaign with Sydney Sweeney - SI
$OWL (+1.4% pre) Pimco Buys All $400 Million of Bonds Sold by Blue Owl BDC
$LRHC (+46.7% pre) La Rosa acquires remaining 49% stake in Orlando brokerage
$BIRD (+16.9% pre) Allbirds secures $50 million convertible financing for AI pivot
$CRWV (-1.2% pre) Jane Street Group has taken an additional $1B stake in CoreWeave - TTN
THE U.S. HAS NOT AGREED TO AN EXTENSION OF THE CEASEFIRE- AXIOS REPORTER ON X
$AGAE (+97.0% pre) AGAE surged after hours on Tuesday after the company settled a legal dispute with Los Angeles-based gaming and entertainment firm Knighted Pastures LLC
$OKLO (+6.8% pre) OKLO adds four directors and names new lead independent director - SI
Process to Refund Tariffs to Begin Next Week - WSJ
Exclusive: China weighs curbs on exports of solar manufacturing equipment to US - Reuters
OpenAI opens powerful cyber tools to verified users - Axios
$CIIT (+39.9% pre) Tianci International signs MOU with Greypole Mining for Zimbabwe resources
$ALGS (-14.9% pre) Hepatitis B study avoids futility as FDA grants fast-track status
$IMMP (+138.7% pre) Immutep gets FDA orphan drug status for cancer treatment
$SPRY (+2.6% pre) Canada clears first needle-free epinephrine for severe allergies
$BAC (+0.9% pre) Bank of America beat profit estimates as trading, investment banking shine
$GLOO (+14.9% pre) Gloo forecasts $190M 2026 revenue while targeting adjusted EBITDA profitability in Q4 2026 following EMD deal
$MS (+2.5% pre) Morgan Stanley tops estimates as trading revenue exceeds expectations by $1 billion
$NNBR (+15.3% pre) NN raises 2026 new business guidance after strong first quarter awards
$ASML (-4.2% pre) Chip Gear Giant ASML Beats Q1 Views, Misses With Q2 Sales Outlook
$ARAI (-20.0% pre) Arrive AI Announces Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results, Highlights Progress Toward Scaling Autonomous Delivery Network
$DOO (-24.6% pre) BRP Suspends FY27 Guidance Due to Changes to U.S. Tariff Environment – Company Announcement
$NOV (-3.0% pre) NOV sees Q1 revenues, earnings below prior guidance on Middle East war disruptions
$PGR (-1.3% pre) Progressive Corp. (PGR) Misses Q1 EPS by 3c
$SPWR (-5.7% pre) SunPower files 2025 10-K with $300 million revenue after audit adjustments
$SURG (-25.3% pre) Surgepays earnings missed by $0.71, revenue fell short of estimates
Top Earnings Wed 4/15 Aft: $GSBC $HOMB $JBHT $MIND $SLG
Top Earnings Th 4/16 Pre: $ABT $BK $CFG $HOFT $IIIN $JKS $KEY $MAN $MRSH $PEP $PLD $SCHW $TRV $TSM $USB $WIT
Empire Manufacturing (Apr) 11 vs 0.0 Expected
Import Price Index (Mar MoM) 0.8% vs 2.3% Expected
$CMND (-16.5% pre) Clearmind Medicine gets safety board approval to continue alcohol disorder trial - SI
$WATT (+18.2% pre) Energous expands Fortune 10 customer deployments and proof-of-concept pipeline
SEC Eliminates $25,000 Pattern Day Trader Rule in Retail Trading Overhaul$HOOD +7.8% pre $BULL +9.3% pre $SCHW + 1.1%p pre $IBKR +1.1% pre
$LUMN (+4.9% pre) Lumen becomes first partner for $AMZN AWS Interconnect last-mile service - SI