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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Th 6/25/26Durable Goods Orders GDP Jobless Claims Personal Income and Outlays Chicago Fed National Activity Index Corporate Profits Retail Inventories (Advance) Wholesale Inventories (Advance) 8:30 AM ETEIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ETTreasury Buyback & Bill Announcements Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index 11:00 AM ET4 & 8-Week Bill Auction 11:30 AM ET7-Yr Note Auction 1:00 PM ETTreasury Buyback Results 2:00 PM ETJohn Williams Speaks 3:40 PM ETFed Balance Sheet 4:30 PM ETAustan Goolsbee Speaks 6:30 PM ET
Nasdaq futures rally as Micron surges after earnings; Wall Street awaits key inflation reading - CNBC
Rubio in Middle East tour says any Iran deal will ensure security of Gulf allies - Reuters
Iran warns ships it’s ‘unacceptable and dangerous’ to transit the Strait of Hormuz without their approval - CNBC
US-Iran deal may leave Netanyahu as biggest casualty - Reuters
Iran’s neighbor, U.S. ally: What Pakistan gains from being a peacemaker - CNBC
Trump Stuns Republicans With Whirlwind Day of Frustration and Finger-Pointing - WSJ
‘Mad as a Murder Hornet’ Trump Squabbles With Disaffected Senate - BBG
Trump, Republican senator engage in shouting match over Iran war - Reuters
Reflecting Pool now under surveillance as Trump blames 'vandals' for green algae - Reuters
Senate Rejects Iran War Powers Resolution After Trump Pressure - BBG
Trump Says ‘America is Back’ in Rally Marking 250th US Birthday - BBG
Millions lose food stamps under Trump cuts. Arizona is hardest hit - Reuters
US bond market expects rate hikes the Fed may never deliver - Reuters
Epstein associate Ghislaine Maxwell says new evidence undermines conviction; US prosecutors disagree - Reuters
Back-to-back Venezuela earthquakes kill 164, USGS fears thousands more dead - Reuters
Trump pledges rapid U.S. response for Venezuela after historic earthquakes kill dozens - CNBC
Ukraine Says It Hit Rosneft Oil Refineries in Russia’s Ufa - BBG
Ukraine’s Most Potent Weapon Is the Soldiers Who Refuse to Quit - WSJ
Hegseth Cuts Army Commander’s Storied Career Short as Part of Broader Shake-Up - WSJ
EU Gives US Trade Deal Final Approval Ahead of Trump Deadline - BBG
ECB's Schnabel sees more tightening even after Iran ceasefire
Bank of England policymakers worry about shift from collective forecast
UK retail downturn deepened in June, CBI survey shows
France sounds alarm as Europe's deadly heatwave takes its toll
China's 'future industries' push triggers flood of venture capital, bubble concerns
US says China trying to discourage states, businesses from engaging with Taiwan
Taiwan Starts Washington Flights in Milestone for Uncertain Ties - BBG
Japan's government blueprint nudges BOJ to fuel demand, clouding rates path - Reuters
Oil prices erase wartime gains as more tankers transit through Strait of Hormuz - CNBC
Iraq Walks Back Threat on Leaving OPEC Over Output Limits - BBG
Dollar skims 13-month highs as investors bank on rate hikes - Reuters
Gold hovers around $4,000, silver holds below $60 — has the shimmer worn off the precious metal rally? - CNBC
$WEN (+13.0% pre) Wendy's rallies again as Reddit users look to save the chain
$DRAM (+12.3% pre) DRAM surges as $MU Micron earnings, SK Hynix U.S. listing plans boost AI memory trade
$QCOM (+10.4% pre) Qualcomm stock pops after chipmaker almost doubles projection for 2029 non-handset revenue - CNBC
$IBM (+3.2% pre) IBM surges after unveiling new sub-1 nm chip technology
$AMZN $MSFT EU targets Amazon, Microsoft cloud units for Big Tech “gatekeeper” rules - Reuters
$BABA (-2.8% pre) Anthropic says Alibaba illicitly extracted Claude AI model capabilities
Defense stocks slide again, as Germany’s naval U-turn shakes confidence in Europe’s rearmament boom - CNBC
$BA $LMT $HON $HONAV Trump meets defense CEOs as Iran operations strain U.S. missile stockpiles - CNBC
$FRMI (+7.4% pre) In a letter to shareholders, co-founder Tony Neugebauer said he had “a high degree of confidence” in a soon-to-be-announced tenant deal. - ST
Federal Reserve says U.S. banks can withstand $708 billion in losses amid overhaul of capital rules - CNBC
$FNMA $FMCC Fannie, Freddie Boost Risk to Levels That Once Shook Wall Street- BBG
$LYV (+0.0% pre) Court filing reveals President Trump spoke to Live Nation CEO before antitrust case was settled
US Postal Service tells Congress it needs help, running out of cash
$HIMS (+0.5% pre) Hims' obesity drug business may get boost as employers drop coverage
$AZI (+54.4% pre) Autozi secures up to $5.25M as it funds growth plans
$CRWV (+4.2% pre) CoreWeave Partners With Conapto to Expand AI Cloud Capacity in Sweden Powered by Renewable Energy
$WYY (+49.0% pre) WidePoint Named Single Awardee of the $3.1 Billion DHS CWMS 3.0 Contract
$KUST (+109.2% pre) KUSTOM ENTERTAINMENT, INC. ANNOUNCES BINDING AGREEMENT FOR THE DIVESTITURE OF ITS VIDEO SOLUTIONS SEGMENT TO FULLY COMPLETE LIVE ENTERTAINMENT PIVOT
$INVE (-21.4% pre) Identiv to sell IoT assets to Trackonomy for $50M in preferred equity
$DCX (-38.5% pre) Digital Currency X Technology Enters Into Securities Purchase Agreement for a Private Placement of US$700 Million of Units, Payable in U.S. Dollars or Digital Assets, to Advance Its Digital Asset Treasury Strategy
$TECH (+19.9% pre) Merck KGaA to acquire Bio-Techne for $11.3 billion ($73/sh cash)
$KYMR (+8.0% pre) Kymera completes Phase 2b AD trial enrollment ahead of schedule
$PASG (-17.3% pre) Passage Bio and Remix Therapeutics agree to all-stock merger deal
$AYI (+7.7% pre) Acuity Brands (NYSE:AYI) Surprises With Q2 CY2026 Sales
$BB (+9.4% pre) BlackBerry lifts annual revenue forecast as QNX unit powers growth
$CMC (+2.4% pre) CMC profit surges as core EBITDA rises 79% and leverage falls
$MKC (+2.4% pre) McCormick tops earnings expectations, makes 'strong progress' on Unilever Foods integration
$MU (+17.8% pre) Micron's stock soars after blowout earnings reset the AI memory trade
$SNX (+7.0% pre) TD SYNNEX (NYSE:SNX) Reports Strong Q2 CY2026, Stock Soars
$DRI (-3.0% pre) Darden Restaurants earnings beat estimates but Olive Garden growth weakens
$FUL (-8.3% pre) .B. Fuller (FUL) Tops Q2 EPS by 3c; Offers Outlook
$FUL (-8.3% pre) H.B. Fuller makes £715M cash offer to acquire Advanced Medical Solutions
$JEF (-1.6% pre) Jefferies Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
$SPRY (-23.5% pre) ARS Pharmaceuticals cuts 2026 expenses after no new neffy coverage gains
$TCOM (-12.6% pre) Trip.com (TCOM) Lags Q1 Earnings Estimates
$WGO (-1.4% pre) Winnebago: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot
Top Earnings Th 6/25 Aft: $AOUT $CGEH $FDXF $OMSE $QMCO $WSE
Top Earnings Fri 6/26 Pre: $APOG $CNVS $XAIR
$CDNL (-3.7% pre) Cardinal Infrastructure prices public offering at $73 per share
$HTZ (-6.4% pre) Hertz prices $350M exchangeable senior secured notes due 2030
$NUVB (-11.0% pre) Nuvation Bio plans $200M convertible notes offering due 2032
$TSHA (-8.6% pre) Taysha Gene Therapies prices $200M public stock offering
Upgrades 6/25: $DP $PRIM $QCOM $UWMC $WDAY $XYL
Downgrades 6/25: $AFRM $INVE $PVH
+Initiations 6/25: $AOSL $BDSX $BRUN $CMPS $CRWV $CSTL $EQBK $FBK $FFIN $FROG $GHRS $HWC $INBK $MLCI $MPLT $PNFP $SMBK $SPFI $TNXP $VELO $WHWK $XGN
$DLTR (-3.6% pre) Dollar Tree Announces Secondary Block Trade by Selling Stockholders and Share Buyback
Top Shareholder Meetings: $BB, $DELL, $KR, $LIVE, $MRVL, $OWL, $S, $TEX, $TROW
Top Analyst/Investor Calls: $BNED $EBAY $MRNA $VC
Top Conferences: o Citizens Digital Infrastructure Forum o Guggenheim BioFrontier o Stifel European Healthcare Conference o TD Cowen Tools/Dx Revolution