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What We're Watching Today

Econ Calendar Th 7/16/26Jobless Claims Retail Sales Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 8:30 AM ETBusiness Inventories Housing Market Index Pending Home Sales Index 10:00 AM ETEIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ETTreasury Buyback & Bill Announcements 11:00 AM ET4 & 8 -Week Bill Auction 11:30 AM ETLorie Logan Speaks 12:30 PM ETJeffrey Schmid Speaks 1:25 PM ETTreasury Buyback Results 2:00 PM ETFed Balance Sheet 4:30 PM ETPhilip Jefferson Speaks 7:00 PM ET
S&P 500 futures edge lower as semiconductors fall - CNBC
Iran-US Hostilities Worsen as Hormuz Shipping Traffic Falls - BBG
Trump Leans Toward Expanding U.S. Military Operations in Iran - WSJ
US strikes on Iran strengthen Trump's options for new escalation, officials say - Reuters
Controlling Hormuz Would Take More U.S. Troops—and Even More Risk - WSJ
Iran says it targeted bases in Kuwait and Jordan after new wave of US strikes - Reuters
IRAN TELLS YEMEN'S HOUTHIS TO CLOSE BAB EL-MANDEB GATEWAY TO THE RED SEA IF U.S. HITS POWER NETWORK - PRESS
Iran warns U.S. of Hormuz ‘red line,’ says it will retaliate to Trump’s strike threats - CNBC
Iran’s Top Negotiator Defends US Peace Talks Against Hardliners - BBG
Many Democrats Break With Israel, Back Measure Stripping Military Aid - WSJ
With midterms on deck, Trump to deliver primetime speech on election security - Reuters
Trump’s pick to head national intelligence, Jay Clayton, won’t tell senators Biden won the 2020 election - CNBC
Maine ICE shooting puts Republican Senator Susan Collins in political bind - Reuters
Analysis: Fed Chairman Warsh faces an inflation credibility test after Congress hearings - CNBC
As Fed Chair Warsh sticks to policy silence, colleagues voice their views - Reuters
U.S. to Impose 25% Tariff on Certain Goods From Brazil - WSJ
Venezuelans Left to Fend for Themselves After Quakes as Rescuers Leave - BBG
Canadian wildfire smoke chokes Toronto, threatens US cities - Reuters
Zelensky Ousts Popular Defense Minister as Ukraine Gains Momentum in the War - WSJ
Dismissal of Ukraine's defence chief sparks political crisis - Reuters
ECB to hold rates now but energy price resurgence points to September hike - Reuters
Euro zone yields rise, gap between German and US borrowing costs smallest in a month
European earnings growth seen strongest in 3 years as energy profits surge - Reuters
US Signals Modest Hopes for Trump-Xi Summit, Seeks Stability - BBG
China's record consumer defaults undermine Beijing's push to boost spending - Reuters
China's Xi to outline AI diplomacy vision at key Shanghai forum - Reuters
China's rare earth curbs endanger $6.5 trillion of Western industry, IEA says
South Korea to ban new listings of single-stock leveraged ETFs - Reuters
Oil eases as traders weigh U.S.-Iran conflict risks
$UBER (+0.8% pre) Uber Agrees to Buy Delivery Hero in $14.8 Billion Deal - BBG
Anthropic moves closer to mega-IPO as bankers line up investor meetings - CNBC
$MSFT (+1.4% pre) Microsoft trains sales force to promote in-house AI over OpenAI, Google, Anthropic - report
$NVDA (-1.7% pre) Nvidia unveils new AI model and expands Japan’s physical AI ecosystem - CNBC
$SPCX (-0.4% pre) SpaceX sets evening Starship launch in first test flight since IPO
$SPCX (-0.4% pre) SpaceX selloff an ominous sign as lockup expiry looms
$META (-0.2% pre) Meta Oversight Board finds top AI models less likely to criticize repressive regimes
$BIDU (+2.6% pre) Baidu seeks dual-primary listing on Hong Kong Stock Exchange
$EOSE (+6.9% pre) Eos Energy wins Golden Dome defense contract for energy storage
$SHAZ (+4.8% pre) SharonAI signs $1.32B five-year cloud computing deal in New Zealand
Retail Traders’ Rise Upends the Established Stock Market Order - BBG
$GOOGL (+0.8% pre) $GOOG Google required to open up to AI, search engine rivals under EU-mandated changes
Shortsellers take aim at manufacturing in June amid supply chain stress, Hazeltree data shows
$ATAI (+33.4% pre) $LLY Lilly to acquire AtaiBeckley to advance therapies for treatment-resistant depression and other mental health conditions ($6.75/sh cash, $2.50 CVR)
$CMPS (+8.6% pre) Compass Pathways study finds COMP360 support differs from psychotherapy
$INSM (+2.0% pre) Insmed reports 12-month OLE data for TPIP in PAH patients
$MRK (+0.8% pre) Merck’s First-of-Its-Kind Cholesterol Pill Approved, Ushering in New Wave of Treatment
$ABT (+3.7% pre) Abbott Boosts 2026 Profit Guidance as Sales Across Business Rise
$JBHT (+5.7% pre) J.B. Hunt Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations, stock surges
$MAN (+12.5% pre) ManpowerGroup (NYSE: MAN) back to profit as Q2 2026 revenue reaches $4.9B
$UNH (+6.6% pre) UnitedHealth Group stock surged after beating earnings and raising its 2026 profit forecast
$FEIM (-11.4% pre) Frequency Electronics Posts Weak Q4 Results,
$GE (-2.9% pre) GE boosts profit outlook, but stock falls as booming order growth cools
$STT (-1.1% pre) State Street posts Q2 beat as fee income jumps, 2026 guidance boosted
$TSM (-4.1% pre) TSMC Upbeat Outlook Fails to Give AI Stocks Fresh Impetus
$UAL (-3.4% pre) UAL Stock Falls After-Hours Despite Earnings Beat And Raised Outlook — Retail Debates Whether Selloff Is Just Profit Taking
Top Earnings Th 7/16 Aft: $AA $CNS $FNB $INDB $ISRG $NFLX $SFNC $VIST
Top Earnings Fri 7/17 Pre: $ALV $FITB $RF $SPFI $TFC $TRV
US Retail Sales Rise Modestly as Consumers Spend Less on Gas - BBG
INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 208K V 217KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 1.805M V 1.818ME
$IQST (+30.7% pre) IQST - IQSTEL Reports Preliminary First-Half 2026 Revenue of $207 Million, Positioning the Company to Surpass a Half-Billion-Dollar Annual Revenue Run Rate and Exceed an $8 Million EBITDA Run Rate
$RUBI (+34.4% pre) Rubico Announces Management Estimate of Net Asset Value to $183.1 Million, a 94% Increase from the Previously Reported NAV
Upgrades 7/16: $AVAV $BLK $CTAS $ERO $FLEX $MLI $OKTA $PANW $RKT $SKM $TFII
Downgrades 7/16: $AEP $CMTG $CNK $ETSY $EVO $GPMT $IMAX $IONS $LULU $NTLA $NTR $PNR $RMD $WRB
+Initiations 7/16: $AIP $AMZN $ASTS $BKNG $CART $CDNS $CODI $CRTO $EBAY $EXPE $EYPT $FPS $GDDY $GOOG $GOOGL $MA $NVT $RDDT $RLAY $RMBS $SECZ $SHOP $SNPS $TMS $TSAT $UBER $V $VRSN $VRT $XMTR
$ASTS (-12.7% pre) AST SpaceMobile Announces Pricing of Private Offering of $1.0 Billion of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2034 (Effective Conversion Price of $149.20 per Share with Capped Call)
$SOBR (-51.2% pre) SOBRsafe lowers warrant exercise price; shares tumble
Top Shareholder Meetings: $IAC $OTLK $VS
Top Analyst/Investor Calls: $ABX $NEPH
Top Conferences: o American Society of Retina Specialists o ASRS o B. Riley Securities Mind Muscle & Vision Summit